2019 Cotton Crop Outlook

• Planting is on normal pace – on average. But, the Mid-South is mostly well behind normal. Georgia and the Southeast are mostly normal to ahead of normal. Texas is on a normal pace.

• Soil moisture conditions, overall, are currently good. Although there are some dry areas, most areas are above normal. The outlook (for the June-July-August period) is for above normal precipitation.

• May 10 will bring the first USDA projection of 2019 crop production. This number is not yet based on a farmer survey but is based on the March Prospective Plantings number and historical average abandonment and yield. Most observers expect this year’s crop to be 22-23 million bales or even higher. The May number could be lower than what the crop will eventually be.